The layperson, or a non-businessman, has his or her best chance at money money through the field of real estate. This is because real estate is the easiest field in which you can acquire other people’s money, and it is the field in which a total loss of value is least likely.
Investment vs Speculation.
Investment and speculation are quite different from each other. One relies on hard facts, and the other relies on chance and good guessing. Most so-called investors are actually speculators, even though they think they are investors. These people often spend a huge amount of time “researching.” Research to them is reading market conditions and the opinions of experts and then trying to predict the future prices of their investments. A real investor’s only concern about the future, on the other hand, is the price dropping; he or she wants to guard against this. So, a real investor looks for two things: safety and profit. If either of these things are not present and are not assured beyond a reasonable doubt, then he or she will not consider it an investment, but a speculative operation.
Safety
Any piece of property has an intrinsic value; this value is what the property should be worth based on the amount of income it produces. It should be one hundred times the value of the monthly gross income. We always want to buy below this intrinsic value. If the market in your area is so inflated that there are no prices even close to the intrinsic value, then you should look elsewhere. While there may be many opportunities for profit in those areas, the prices are supported largely by emotion and market sentiment and not hard data.
The price that the property is bought at must be significantly below the intrinsic value, otherwise the investment is no good. Remember that the intrinsic value is not a fixed value, but a general ball park. If one buys something in a ball park substantially below the intrinsic value ball park, then one is sure of getting a good deal.
Therefore, we have said that investors should not buy property unless it is eighty percent or below the intrinsic value. This will give us both a margin of safety and profit in the long term. We have discussed that the price will go up to match the intrinsic value over the long term; this is good if you plan on holding the property for a period of twenty or more years. More important, however, is the margin of safety concept. This difference between the intrinsic value and the price paid is the margin of safety, and it functions as a cushion to lessen the impact from, or completely protect against, any decline in price.
To assure ourselves a profit, we must not rely on appreciation, for this is us relying on chance. As nobody has a crystal ball, this is a silly strategy. Let us find another way.
By buying structurally homes which are in need of repair, we can assure ourselves a profit provided we follow this criteria: The price per square foot of newly constructed homes should have the price paid on the home subtracted from it. This difference needs to be double the estimated repair costs, so that you can spend one dollar and receive back two. With this strategy, we are assured of a profit; if there is any appreciation, we still benefit from it. Also, we are protected against declines in value by our margin of safety.
Learn how to create wealth with rental properties and property investing.
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